What is Péricology ?

Living knowledge

Born in 2018 under the impetus of its founder, Péricology has grown as a response to modern perils. Today, it positions itself as a dynamic and open methodology, ready to meet the challenges of a rapidly changing world. Its future looks rich: deepening research on threshold dynamics, building collaborations with experts or communities, and aiming for formalization as a recognized methodology. This knowledge is not fixed - it lives and is enriched over time. You too can join this adventure: observe, analyze, act, and help shape the Pericology of tomorrow.

History and development

• 2018: The Foundations
  Pericology was born from a simple observation: faced with increasingly frequent and complex crises, a structured approach to anticipate dangers was lacking. Its key concepts (positive loops, negative loops, tipping points) and methods (observation, analysis, action) were formalized to meet this need.

• 2020-2023: Expansion and applications
  During this period, Pericology has concretely broadened its field of study to all the diverse and varied perils: emerging, invisible, ambient and diffuse.

• Current status: A discipline in full swing
  Today, Pericology continues its proactive and accessible path to provide innovative and adaptive solutions.

Future prospects

• Research and innovation :
  Pericology is evolving thanks to technology to deepen its research, its work, its concepts, develop new analysis tools and integrate AI and big data.

• Multidisciplinary collaborations :
  To respond to complex challenges, Péricology opens up to collaborations with other disciplines: climatology, sociology, political science, engineering, etc. These exchanges enrich its methodology and broaden its scope of application.

• Formalization and dissemination :
  The objective is to further formalize Péricology to make it a recognized discipline, while making it accessible to as many people as possible. Training courses, practical guides and collaborative platforms are being developed to share this knowledge.

Invitation to participate

Péricology is a living knowledge , constantly evolving. It needs the commitment of all to continue to grow and adapt to the challenges of tomorrow. Whether you are a researcher, decision-maker, citizen or simply curious, you can contribute to its development. Share your observations, propose ideas, participate in local or global projects.

Because Péricology is above all a collective approach . Together, we can make the anticipation of dangers a daily reality, for a safer and more resilient world.

Join us in this adventure: see first, stop first .

Join Pericology

Become a sentinel in your turn

Pericology is waiting for you! Get involved by observing the dangers around you, learn to decode their dynamics, and apply its principles to protect your daily life. Become a sentinel of critical thresholds, at the service of your community. Resources ( guides, analysis tools) and training are being developed to support you. A nascent community is also forming, ready to share ideas and experiences. Join this movement: together, let's see ahead, bar ahead, and shape a safer future.

How to get involved?

• Learn the basics :
  Familiarize yourself with the key concepts of Pericology (positive loops, negative loops, tipping points) and its operational principle (observe, analyze, act).

• Apply the principles :
  Start by observing your immediate environment. Identify weak signals, analyze the dynamics at play, and propose actions to block perils before they turn into crises.

• Share and collaborate :
  Pericology is based on exchange and collaboration. Join discussion groups, participate in local workshops or contribute to collective projects. Your experience and ideas are valuable to enrich this growing discipline.

Resources and training

• Online platform : Soon, access free resources (articles, videos, analysis tools) to deepen your knowledge.

• Training : Soon, learning modules, in person or remotely, will be offered to master the methods of pericology.

• Emerging Community : Coming soon, join a network of committed sentinels, share your observations and collaborate on concrete projects.

Why act now?

In a world facing unprecedented challenges, every action counts. By becoming a sentinel of perils, you contribute to creating a safer, more resilient and aware environment. You transform the anticipation of risks into a daily practice, at the service of all.

So, are you ready to take up the challenge? Become a sentinel in your turn and take part in this collective adventure. Together, we can see ahead, steer ahead .

Join us today: explore, learn, act. Pericology needs you!

An evolving methodology

A sentinel of the dynamics of perils

Péricology , born in 2018, is a methodology that explores, analyzes and decodes the dynamics of perils to anticipate and block danger before it arises. By positioning itself as a vigilant sentinel, it identifies the warning signals of threats, whether local or diffuse, and allows us to rethink our relationship with dangers, by acting upstream to avoid their escalation into crises.

Its name draws its roots from the Latin periculum (danger, peril, risk), from Periculoso which implies danger, risky, perilous, from the Greek (περί) peri (around or concerning) and from (λόγος) logos, meaning (speech, word or sometimes reason) , thus evoking an all-encompassing and proactive approach to the perils that surround us.

With the slogan "See before, stop before" , Péricology embodies a philosophy of preventive and methodical action. Its logo, a torch surrounded by a laurel wreath , symbolizes both the light of vigilance and victory over dangers through anticipation.

By laying these foundations, Péricology presents itself as an essential discipline for understanding and controlling risks in a constantly changing world.

Understanding the dynamics of perils

A reality in motion.

Hazards are not static: they evolve, transform and interact with their environment. To understand them, Péricology sheds light on this reality by relying on key concepts that reveal their complex and dynamic nature.

1. Positive loops :
   These are amplification mechanisms where a danger signal intensifies, creating a runaway effect.

2. Negative loops :
   Conversely, negative loops represent regulatory processes that limit or contain hazards.

3. Tipping points :
   These critical thresholds mark the moment when a peril crosses an irreversible threshold, moving from a controllable state to an inevitable crisis.

The dangers manifest themselves in different forms:

• Ambient hazards : permanently present in our environment, such as pollution or technological risks.

• Diffuse perils : difficult to locate or quantify, such as misinformation or global health crises.

• Local hazards : concentrated in a specific area, such as natural disasters or localized social tensions.

• Emerging hazards : new dangers that appear with the evolution of technologies, societies or ecosystems, such as risks linked to artificial intelligence or biotechnologies.

• Invisible perils : threats that are difficult to perceive or measure, such as psychosocial risks or silent cyber threats.

Their evolving, often unpredictable nature requires a flexible and contextual approach that can adapt to their complexity. Emerging and invisible perils, in particular, represent a major challenge, as they require increased vigilance and innovative analytical tools to be detected in time.

By highlighting these dynamics, Péricology offers a reading grid to anticipate dangers and act before they become uncontrollable. Because understanding the dangers is already beginning to control them.

An accessible and proactive approach

Observe, analyze, act

Péricology is distinguished by its methodical and accessible approach , designed to be implemented by everyone, from experts to engaged citizens. Its operational principle is based on three clear steps:

1. Observe :
   See the signals. The first step is to detect the warning signs of dangers, whether they are ambient, diffuse or local.

2. Analyze :
   Contrast the dynamics. Once the signals have been identified, it is a matter of analyzing them to understand their nature, intensity and evolution.

3. Act :
   Block the danger. Finally, proactive action intervenes to neutralize the danger before it turns into a crisis.

These steps are based on the three pillars of pericology:

1. Observation, identification and modeling : understanding hazards by mapping them and anticipating their trajectories.

2. Proactive and methodical prevention : acting upstream with targeted measures to avoid the escalation of dangers.

3. Contextual adaptation and follow-up : adapt to the specificities of each situation and ensure continuous monitoring.

By emphasizing citizen accessibility , Péricology invites everyone to become an actor in risk prevention. Thanks to simple tools and a structured approach, it offers everyone the opportunity to contribute to a safer and more resilient environment. Because anticipating dangers is everyone's business.

Main areas of study

Decoding critical thresholds

Péricology is structured around specific axes of study, aiming to decode the critical thresholds of dangers in order to act before they degenerate into crises. These axes make it possible to structure the approach and prioritize actions.

1. Detection of warning signals :
   The first axis consists of identifying the weak signals which announce the emergence of a danger.

2. Contrasting dynamics :
   Once the signals have been identified, they need to be analyzed in depth to understand their interactions and developments.

3. Study of local and measurable perils :
   As a starting point, pericology focuses on local perils, the most immediate and tangible.

4. Exploration of ambient and diffuse perils :
   As an extension, pericology is also interested in ambient (permanently present) and diffuse (difficult to locate or quantify) perils.

By combining these axes, Péricology offers a complete reading grid to anticipate and neutralize dangers. It allows us to move from a passive reaction to a proactive action, by decoding critical thresholds before they become uncontrollable.

Concrete applications

A wide and practical field

Péricology applies where dangers threaten daily life, it is not limited to theory: it finds concrete applications in many fields, offering tools to anticipate and manage daily risks. Here are some examples illustrating its practical usefulness:

1. Flood prevention :
   By analyzing warning signals such as abnormal rainfall, soil saturation or rising water levels, pericology makes it possible to put in place preventive measures (evacuations, flood barriers) before the situation becomes critical.

2. Managing Social Tensions :
   Pericology can be used to detect signals of social tensions, such as increased protests, polarized discourse, or unfavorable economic indicators.

3. Anticipation of technology failures :
   In an increasingly technology-dependent world, by monitoring signals such as network anomalies, recurring bugs or intrusion attempts, companies can strengthen their systems before a failure paralyzes their activities.

These examples, whether real or hypothetical, illustrate how Péricology is anchored in everyday life. By transforming risk anticipation into an accessible and methodical practice, it offers concrete solutions for a more resilient world. Because acting before means protecting tomorrow.

Adaptation and contextual issues

Responding to local realities

Péricology does not offer a single solution: it adapts to the specificities of environments and communities. This contextual adaptation is essential to effectively respond to local challenges, whether climatic, social or technological.

1. Climate specificities :
   Climate-related risks vary considerably from region to region. Each context requires tailored tools and strategies to detect and respond to early warning signals.

2. Social Dynamics :
   Communities have unique structures, cultures and challenges. Pericology must take these realities into account to identify emerging social tensions that require a different approach,

3. Technological challenges :
   In an increasingly connected world, technological risks (cyberattacks, network failures, dependence on infrastructures). Pericology must adapt to disparities whether in a high-tech metropolis or in a developing region.

4. Economic Challenges :
   Local economic realities also influence how perils manifest and are perceived. A region dependent on a single industry will be more vulnerable to market fluctuations, requiring close attention to economic and social signals.

By adapting to these local realities, Péricology demonstrates its flexibility and relevance. It does not simply provide ready-made solutions, but offers a tailor-made approach, capable of responding to the specific challenges of each context. This adaptability makes it a resolutely modern discipline and essential for anticipating risks in a constantly changing world.

Because understanding local realities is the key to acting in a targeted and effective manner.

Interest and relevance

Towards a better understanding of the dangers

In a world marked by multiple and interconnected crises, Péricology is more useful and relevant than ever. It offers a structured approach to anticipate dangers, strengthen resilience and empower citizens, decision-makers and organizations. By shedding light on the dynamics of perils, pericology transforms uncertainty into control, for the benefit of all.

• Proactive prevention :
  Pericology allows us to detect weak signals of perils before they turn into crises. By acting upstream, it reduces the human, economic and environmental costs associated with disasters.

• Building Resilience :
  By understanding the dynamics of hazards, individuals and communities become more resilient. Péricology provides tools to adapt to changes and overcome shocks, whether climatic, social or technological.

• Citizen Empowerment :
  Péricology is not reserved for experts: it is for everyone. By making its methods and concepts accessible, it encourages citizens to become actors in risk prevention.

• Tool for decision-makers and organizations :
  For governments, businesses and institutions, Péricology offers a methodological framework for making informed decisions. It helps to prioritize actions, allocate resources efficiently and anticipate critical scenarios.

• Response to global challenges :
  Faced with global issues such as social inequalities or technological risks, Péricology offers an integrated and collaborative approach. It makes it possible to link local perils to global dynamics.

In short, Péricology is much more than a discipline: it is a transformation tool for a world in crisis. It allows us to move from a reactive logic to a proactive logic, by placing prevention and resilience at the heart of priorities. For individuals, decision-makers and organizations, it represents an opportunity to better understand, anticipate and control the perils that surround us.

Because acting before means protecting tomorrow.